Charles Schwab to Launch Prediction Markets on S&P 500
Financial services giant to offer binary bets on S&P 500 closing price.

Charles Schwab is planning to enter the prediction markets space with a new offering focused on the S&P 500, according to a report from the Wall Street Journal. The move marks a notable expansion for the traditional financial services firm into event-based wagering.
The product will reportedly limit bets to simple yes-or-no outcomes on whether the S&P 500 index closes above or below a specified target price. This structure mirrors classic binary options or prediction market contracts, but within a regulated brokerage environment.
The entry of a major brokerage like Charles Schwab could bring increased legitimacy and liquidity to prediction markets, which have largely been dominated by crypto-based platforms such as Polymarket. Traditional financial institutions have been slowly exploring similar products amid growing retail interest.